Israel's Military Intelligence told the nation's political leaders last week that it does not expect next month's scheduled peace summit in Annapolis, Maryland to succeed, and said the outcome is likely to be negative for Israel.
According to the intelligence assessment, which was reported by Ha'aretz, the Palestinian are looking to make immediate gains at the summit, and even sign a final status peace agreement if possible. At the same time, Israel can expect the Palestinians to either postpone or fail to carry out their own commitments. A similar pattern has characterized the entire Israeli-Palestinian peace process.
Even if Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas wanted to implement his security obligations, Military Intelligence officials do not believe he has the ability or willpower to actually combat Palestinian terrorism.
The intelligence officers also urged the government of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to stop making pre-summit goodwill gestures to Abbas, which it noted are not being reciprocated.