Israeli political analysts suggested that the results of Tuesday's general election in Israel could lead to the break up of Tzipi Livni's Kadima Party, even though with 99 percent of the vote counted Kadima had emerged as the surprise victor.
An article posted on the Hebrew-language Internet portal Walla noted that if Benjamin Netanyahu is tapped to form the next government he will have the options of either forging a centrist government with Kadima and Labor, or building a right-wing coalition secured by the 65 seats won by the right-wing bloc.
If he chooses the latter, Netanyahu will almost certainly offer Livni to join his right-wing government, which she will reject. However, about one-third of Livni's Kadima colleagues who are themselves former Likud lawmakers would have no problem accepting Netanyahu's policy guidelines.
Were Netanyahu able to dangle adequate political incentives in front of these Kadima rightists, they could choose to break away from Kadima in order to be part of the ruling coalition.
Such party splits occurred twice in the outgoing Knesset.