(JNS) What is going on in Iran? To understand it, we should not analyze every detail in isolation. We need to look at the general picture—where the pieces fit together. When we do, the conclusion becomes increasingly clear: The Islamic Republic is under severe pressure, its leadership is fractured, and the conditions for regime change are developing.
An important analysis was published this week by Vaughn Cordle in an article titled, “The End of Iran’s Regime Is Coming.” Cordle is not known as an expert on Iran, but his analysis is excellent. He argues that “the fracture is internal, the pressure is financial,” and that Iran’s regime is approaching collapse. He cites interference by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in negotiations, payroll failures, absenteeism in security units, Dubai’s crackdown on Iranian financial networks and the inability of the regime to “print purchasing power.”
He also...
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