(JNS) Wars are not always won by destroying armies. Sometimes, they are won by destroying a regime’s ability to govern.
The available indicators suggest that if the reported operational pattern reflects conditions on the ground, the United States has entered a new phase of its campaign against the Islamic Republic. The objective is no longer limited to degrading Iran’s military capabilities; it now appears increasingly focused on eroding the regime’s capacity to govern, sustain logistics and finance its war effort.
The wider selection of targets, including bridges, ports, electrical infrastructure and transportation networks, signals a transition from a conventional military campaign to a broader strategic effort aimed at disrupting the entire state’s ability to function.
From an intelligence perspective, the evolving target set indicates that Washington has redefined the regime’s center of gravity. Missile bases and the command facilities of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps remain important, but they are no longer the sole priority. Oil export infrastructure, transportation corridors, southern ports and the national energy network have become critical components of the campaign. Such a...
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