(JNS) Turkey is navigating an increasingly precarious geopolitical landscape following the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran. A NATO member, regional military power and Eurasian economic hub, Ankara has long demonstrated skill in leveraging regional crises to advance its national interests. However, since the launch of “Operation Roaring Lion” on Feb. 28, Turkey finds itself largely sidelined, attempting to maintain a fragile neutrality while managing mounting strategic costs. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan underscored Ankara’s cautious approach, stating that although Turkey is militarily prepared, “our primary objective is not to get into this war.” Despite this position, the conflict is exacerbating Turkey’s vulnerabilities across multiple fronts, including economic stability, border security, relations with Washington and regional influence.
According to Dr. Gallia Lindenstrauss, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies, Ankara views the war as “the realization of some of its worst strategic scenarios.”
Domestic impact
Volatility in global energy markets triggered by the Iran war has intensified pressure on Turkey’s already fragile economy. Brent crude prices climbed above $100...
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