Poll: Early Elections Will Only Strengthen Israel’s Right-Wing Gov’t
Most recent survey reveals Likud would be able to form stable right-wing government if elections were held today
If various coalition partners make good on their threats to abandon the Netanyahu government in a vote of no-confidence by the opposition, polls show that the right-wing Likud party will only benefit from early elections.
A new poll conducted this week by Israel's Maagar Mochot (Brain Trust) found that if elections were held today, the Likud would win 34 of the Knesset's 120 seats.
In second place would be the centrist Yesh Atid faction with 24 seats.
The opposition Zionist Union (Labor) would suffer the most, dropping from its current 24 seats to just 10 in the new Knesset, while the right-wing settler faction, Jewish Home, would rise from 8 seats to 14 seats.
The other drastic change, according to this particular poll, is that the ultra-Orthodox Shas party, one of the sources of the current government's headaches, would fail to pass the electoral threshold and would be absent from the new Knesset.
These numbers would enable the head of Likud to establish a stable government of 67 seats, even without Shas.
However, whether or not Netanyahu would be the one to lead that new government would also depend on the outcome of the various corruption investigations targeting himself, his wife and numerous of their political, personal and business associates.