Schneider Aviel

Tachles With Aviel – The Horror Scenario

As Israel seems set to implode, at least one general says the armies of the Muslim world stand ready to invade. Will it really come to that?

| Topics: Democracy
Who will Israel's soldiers follow in the event of a rift between the government and Supreme Court?
Who will Israel's soldiers follow in the event of a rift between the government and Supreme Court? Photo: Yonatan Sindel/Flash90

The horror scenario: When Israel falls into a deep constitutional crisis from which there is no way out. If the legislative process of judicial reform continues without compromise, where there is broad agreement, we will soon come to the second and third readings of the new laws. Unilateral judicial reform will throw Israel into chaos.

It can be assumed that the Supreme Court will reject the new legislation and the State of Israel will fall into a deep constitutional crisis from that moment. All national security forces responsible for the welfare of Israeli citizens, such as the IDF, the Shin Bet security agency, the Mossad intelligence agency and the police, must choose who to obey: the Supreme Court, or the government. It’s a horror scenario that everyone in the country fears.

Each soldier, policeman and agent will have to choose who to obey, the court or the national religious government. This was the warning voiced by former Shin Bet chief Nadav Argaman, as well as by Defense Minister Yoav Galant and Police Commissioner Kobi Shabtai. Israel’s security organs will remain apolitical to the best of their ability, which means they will obey the rule of law, just as they have for the past 75 years. “Nobody will scare us, the police will continue to remain apolitical,” the police commissioner responded to a speech by Likud lawmaker Dudu Amsalem yesterday. “The day is not far off when a state commission of inquiry will be set up and you will all be charged,” Amsalem had said in a direct threat to the police.

“If the [judicial reform] law is invalidated by the Supreme Court, I will respect the court’s ruling to avoid chaos,” Economy Minister Nir Barkat said today. The Likud is divided on how the party should proceed if the Supreme Court rejects the government’s new legislation. “I in no way support blind handling of a constitutional crisis, I will not support national chaos with my voice and my hand,” emphasized the Minister of Economic Affairs.

Economy Minister Nir Barkat calls for moderation. Photo: Shir Torem/Flash90

This after Justice Minister Yariv Levin, who is in charge of the judicial reform, said: “The Likud will not accept the Supreme Court’s rejection of the draft law, and will find ways to diversify the election of judges for the benefit of the citizens of Israel. As someone who defended the land of Israel and lost commanders and soldiers, I promise you I will stop the civil war and the disintegration of Israel.” The Likud is divided internally over who it will ultimately obey, theirs own government or the law.

Experts predict that there will be a split and dissolution within the army, police, Shin Bet and Mossad. In all organs orders are refused. Already today, even before we stand at the edge of the cliff, we are witnessing an increasing number of reservists who say they will refuse to serve. There is also no doubt that no-holds-barred judicial reform will have an impact on Israel’s conscripted soldiers. The right-wing officers and soldiers will obey their government, while others will say they are following the rule of law as directed by the General Staff. This is a proven recipe for the collapse of all security organizations. Israel’s citizens will suddenly lose their self-confidence and their ability to defend Eretz Israel. The collapse of the Israeli security forces will result in the collapse of the entire people, because Israel is a people’s army.

Israeli protesters confront police during a rally against the government’s draft laws. Photo: Gili Yaari/Flash90

For Israel’s enemies, this is like a dream. Israel plunges into the abyss, all without rocket attacks. “Israel’s enemies are rubbing their hands with joy and they will attack as soon as the State of Israel loses its ability to defend itself,” said former General Yitzhak Brick. “The Arab enemies will attack Israel on five fronts, including infantry troops that will breach Israel’s borders to the north, south and east, armed with rockets, anti-tank missiles and artillery from Lebanon, Syria and the Gaza Strip. At the same time, serious unrest will erupt in the country with thousands of armed Jewish rioters, as will a third Intifada in Judea and Samaria. Under certain conditions, Iran can also take part in the last war.”

If we can’t find a way to implement judicial reform with consensus and cooperation, then this scenario will most likely occur to Israel. We are following the classic script of self-destruction. Many politicians, judges and officers are already warning of the downfall of the “third temple.” There are two underlying reasons for all this: First, unnecessary civil strife, which in Jewish history led to the destruction of the first and second temples. And second, because of Israel’s arrogant politicians, right and left. Their personal and partisan interests trump the national interests of the Jewish people at large. Each party is constrained by ego, and no one is really trying to save the people from self-destruction.


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3 responses to “Tachles With Aviel – The Horror Scenario”

  1. Mark Watkins says:

    Shalom Aviel,

    Brachot, Yisrael will not implode and this is a mere blip from a radar signature from a stealth Adir 35 Fighter… Does not mean there won’t be troubled waters, but as soon as Yisrael wakes up to the fact that their is a color revolution within their borders, the revolutionist who wanted to move their money from Israel to create more havoc, of course they moved their money to SVB… No worries there…

  2. Disciple 1978 says:

    If the Supreme Court of Israel is held in higher regard than the government the nation needs to ask the people if the court should rule. If they say no, that’s that. Others have persuaded people they should rule. Some Orthodox haven’t accepted modern Israel yet and believe the rabbis should rule. The military is always a threat that way with some ambitious General. Economists and Industrialists may have those who would rule. Rockefeller said that once he controlled the economy he didn’t care who made the laws. Globalism takes this view worldwide. Rule is a stewardship on behalf of God, I doubt a Supreme Court would accept that responsibility.

  3. Disciple 1978 says:

    If the Supreme Court of Israel is held in higher regard than the government the nation needs to ask the people if the court should rule. If they say no, that’s that. If they say yes then the court will have to submit legislation for the Knesset to debate and vote on. Then the court can overrule their decision and change it to what they think best. The court then becomes dictator, a Marxist outcome. This would be a ludicrous situation but seems to be the logic of the rioters. Maybe it’s time for the Left to show Israel their true motives by having this referendum. They’ve come a long way from the communal humanist outlook of the founders of modern Israel.

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