The possibility of a political agreement between the United States and Iran exists on paper. But at present, the likelihood of military escalation appears significantly higher. The fundamental differences in strategic perceptions make any rapprochement difficult: In Washington, Tehran is seen as a weakened regime, economically and politically under pressure, from which far-reaching concessions can be demanded. In Tehran, however, there seems to be greater willingness to take a military risk than to appear as a capitulator in the face of American demands.
Whether Iranian compromise proposals are deemed sufficient success to avoid war depends not only on experts or diplomats, but crucially on one person: US President Donald Trump. If he decides that the Iranian concessions are insufficient, every scenario remains on the table—from a limited partial agreement to a comprehensive military strike.
Do not underestimate – but also do not overestimate
The ability of Iran to inflict significant damage on Israel, American forces in the Middle East, and the Gulf states should not be underestimated. Its arsenal of...
Become a Member
-
Read all member content
Get exclusive in-depth reports from Israel.
-
Get exclusive in-depth reports from Israel
Connect with Israel, right from your home.
-
Lift up the voice of truth and hope
Support Jerusalem-based Zionist journalism.
Already a member? Login here.
