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MembersIsrael prepares for possible resumption of fighting against Iran

The assessment in Jerusalem is that there’s a 50-50 likelihood of renewed fighting against Iran in the coming days.

US President Donald Trump at a meeting with Chinese representatives in Beijing, May 14, 2026. Israel is currently awaiting his decision on further action against Iran. EPA/Maxim Shemetov / POOL
US President Donald Trump at a meeting with Chinese representatives in Beijing, May 14, 2026. Israel is currently awaiting his decision on further action against Iran. EPA/Maxim Shemetov / POOL

Israeli security circles currently assess the likelihood of a near-term resumption of fighting against Iran at 50-50. Everything now depends on the decision of US President Donald Trump. At the same time, there are growing signs that Trump could order military action against Iran, apparently after concluding that Tehran is not prepared to accept his conditions.

Israel and the United States are preparing intensively for a possible renewal of the fighting. Close coordination talks are taking place between senior officials in the Israeli military and the Mossad. Mossad chief David Barnea even traveled to the United States for final consultations. The trip was described as a “farewell visit” before the end of his term later this month.

Israeli security circles emphasize that the military is at the highest level of readiness. According to Israeli sources, however, Trump is not expected to go “all in” or launch a comprehensive war to dismantle the Iranian regime. “He will not do now what he has not done over the...

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