(JNS) A new flagship strategic research report from The Olam uses AI-driven scenario modeling to project the economic consequences of Saudi-Israeli normalization across three time horizons: 2029, 2034 and 2046. The headline finding: a normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel, if achieved, would catalyze between $650 billion and $1.3 trillion in cumulative new Middle East economic activity by 2046. Eight economic sectors. Three horizons. One trillion dollars.
The numbers are large. They are also conditional on a political agreement that has not been reached—and may not be reached on the timeline the modeling assumes.
For the American Jewish policy and business community, which has watched the Abraham Accords transform regional architecture since 2020, the report offers something genuinely useful and something it deliberately does not offer. It offers a structural read on the scale of the prize if the deal materializes. It does not offer a date for when, or certainty about whether, the deal materializes.
That distinction matters more than the...
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