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MembersTwo elections and the Iran question: Who decides the next war?

While Israel and the United States face crucial elections, evidence of military planning against Iran is mounting. However, Tehran could disrupt the political timetable of Trump and Netanyahu.

US President Donald Trump and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a meeting at the White House in Washington on September 29, 2025. The upcoming elections in both countries raise questions about the timing of a possible new offensive against Iran. Photo: EPA/Jim Lo Scalzo/Pool
US President Donald Trump and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a meeting at the White House in Washington on September 29, 2025. The upcoming elections in both countries raise questions about the timing of a possible new offensive against Iran. Photo: EPA/Jim Lo Scalzo/Pool

Israel votes on October 27, America on November 3. Jerusalem and Washington are apparently considering the timing of a new military escalation against Iran. But what happens if Tehran doesn’t wait for the American election calendar? A surprise visit by the US Secretary of Defense, an unusually high number of security consultations, and Trump’s open support for Netanyahu raise explosive questions. What if Iran attacks at precisely this moment? Just days before the Israeli elections and barely two weeks before the American midterms? A massive missile attack could force Israel into a military response, draw Washington into another war, and throw the political plans of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu into disarray. This very scenario has been on my mind since conversations with media colleagues in Jerusalem. Behind the scenes, indications are mounting that both governments want to wait for the elections first. Only after that could the war against Iran enter a new phase. But who guarantees that Tehran will play along?

Elections first, then war?

On October 27, Israelis will...

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About the author

Patrick Callahan

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